IBOV 168,498.45 ▲ 1.39% IPC MEX 71,393.57 ▲ 0.43% MERVAL 2,848,945 — — USD/BRL5.50▼ 0.17% USD/MXN18.60▼ 0.05% USD/CLP 975.74 — 0.00% USD/COP3,240▲ 0.03% USD/PEN3.44▼ 0.15% USD/ARS 1,545 — 0.00% USD/UYU40.31▲ 3.48% USD/PYG6,358▲ 8.23% USD/BOB11.81▲ 0.40% USD/DOP60.56▲ 0.43% USD/CRC448.27▲ 1.89% USD/GTQ7.64▲ 3.24% USD/HNL26.88▲ 3.25% USD/NIO 36.62 — 0.00% USD/VES893.88▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD157.99▲ 2.90% USD/TTD6.72▲ 2.39% EUR/BRL6.13▲ 0.07% BRENT 98.32 ▲ 0.03% WTI 90.83 ▲ 0.34% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.24 ▼ 0.18% GOLD 4,075 ▼ 0.94% SILVER 51.94 ▼ 0.56% SOY 1,194 ▲ 1.08% CORN 441.50 ▲ 0.34% WHEAT 591.25 ▼ 1.34% COFFEE 280.15 ▲ 1.08% SUGAR 18.25 ▼ 1.67% ORANGE JUICE 130.55 ▲ 1.63% COTTON 78.54 ▼ 0.22% COCOA 5,119 ▼ 1.20% BEEF 214.05 ▼ 0.16% CATTLE 318.38 ▼ 2.05% LITHIUM 60.91 ▲ 1.21% PETR4 45.36 ▼ 1.28% VALE3 64.04 ▲ 2.19% ITUB4 40.53 ▲ 1.40% BBDC4 14.20 ▲ 3.12% ABEV3 15.48 — 0.00% BBAS3 17.13 ▲ 3.88% B3SA3 14.39 ▲ 0.21% WEGE3 48.19 ▼ 0.23% PRIO3 60.48 ▼ 1.72% SUZB3 53.40 ▲ 2.12% RENT3 30.29 ▲ 4.20% AZZA3 14.76 ▲ 4.98% CSAN3 2.77 ▲ 10.80% RAIZ4 28.00 ▲ 2.56% PCAR3 2.40 ▲ 0.42% GMAT3 3.80 ▲ 2.43% PSSA3 44.35 ▲ 1.46% CVCB3 0.84 ▲ 2.44% POSI3 3.09 ▼ 0.64% SLCE3 16.61 ▲ 1.59% NATU3 5.17 ▼ 3.36% BRKM5 3.20 ▲ 5.61% RANI3 8.53 ▲ 0.83% CSNA3 4.41 ▲ 8.89% IBOV 168,498.45 ▲ 1.39% IPC MEX 71,393.57 ▲ 0.43% MERVAL 2,848,945 — — USD/BRL 5.50 ▼ 0.17% USD/MXN 18.60 ▼ 0.05% USD/CLP 975.74 — 0.00% USD/COP 3,240 ▲ 0.03% USD/PEN 3.44 ▼ 0.15% USD/ARS 1,545 — 0.00% USD/UYU 40.31 ▲ 3.48% USD/PYG 6,358 ▲ 8.23% USD/BOB 11.81 ▲ 0.40% USD/DOP 60.56 ▲ 0.43% USD/CRC 448.27 ▲ 1.89% USD/GTQ 7.64 ▲ 3.24% USD/HNL 26.88 ▲ 3.25% USD/NIO 36.62 — 0.00% USD/VES 893.88 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.99 ▲ 2.90% USD/TTD 6.72 ▲ 2.39% EUR/BRL 6.13 ▲ 0.07% BRENT 98.32 ▲ 0.03% WTI 90.83 ▲ 0.34% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.24 ▼ 0.18% GOLD 4,075 ▼ 0.94% SILVER 51.94 ▼ 0.56% SOY 1,194 ▲ 1.08% CORN 441.50 ▲ 0.34% WHEAT 591.25 ▼ 1.34% COFFEE 280.15 ▲ 1.08% SUGAR 18.25 ▼ 1.67% ORANGE JUICE 130.55 ▲ 1.63% COTTON 78.54 ▼ 0.22% COCOA 5,119 ▼ 1.20% BEEF 214.05 ▼ 0.16% CATTLE 318.38 ▼ 2.05% LITHIUM 60.91 ▲ 1.21% PETR4 45.36 ▼ 1.28% VALE3 64.04 ▲ 2.19% ITUB4 40.53 ▲ 1.40% BBDC4 14.20 ▲ 3.12% ABEV3 15.48 — 0.00% BBAS3 17.13 ▲ 3.88% B3SA3 14.39 ▲ 0.21% WEGE3 48.19 ▼ 0.23% PRIO3 60.48 ▼ 1.72% SUZB3 53.40 ▲ 2.12% RENT3 30.29 ▲ 4.20% AZZA3 14.76 ▲ 4.98% CSAN3 2.77 ▲ 10.80% RAIZ4 28.00 ▲ 2.56% PCAR3 2.40 ▲ 0.42% GMAT3 3.80 ▲ 2.43% PSSA3 44.35 ▲ 1.46% CVCB3 0.84 ▲ 2.44% POSI3 3.09 ▼ 0.64% SLCE3 16.61 ▲ 1.59% NATU3 5.17 ▼ 3.36% BRKM5 3.20 ▲ 5.61% RANI3 8.53 ▲ 0.83% CSNA3 4.41 ▲ 8.89%
since 2009
Sunday, November 8, 2026

Opinion: The Curmudgeon on Illation and Premium Delation

By · · 3 min read

Opinion, by Michael Royster

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – The Curmudgeon, who likes to think of himself as a polyglot, has been humbled. Last week, broad circulation newspapers use two words which the Curmudgeon knew not. The first was “ilação”, a word used by a former rubber tapper in reaction to an accusation made by a former executive, who perpetrated “delação premiada”.

The Curmudgeon, Brazil, Opinion
The Curmudgeon, also known as Michael Royster.
RT
Ask Rio Times
17 years of Latin America reporting, on demand.
Open the full Ask Rio Times →

Illation is an obsolete word usually translated “inference”. One definition calls it “the reasoning involved in drawing a conclusion or making a logical judgment on the basis of circumstantial evidence and prior conclusions rather than on the basis of direct observation.” Marina Silva, her party’s candidate for President after her running mate Eduardo Campos died in a plane crash, was using it in this sense, as we shall see further on.

In Scottish law, to delate is to inform against, denounce or accuse. Its Latin roots mean that a delator is seeking to “bring down” someone, usually a criminal accomplice. In English, the common slang terms are stool pigeon, rat or fink. In Portuguese, it’s “dedo-duro” because the fink “fingers” someone else.

Since 1999 Brazilian penal law has permitted “delação premiada”—first offender criminals can win a “prêmio” or prize for voluntarily fingering their accomplices and other culprits. The prize can be a reduction of a sentence, or even a “get out of jail free” card. To grant a reprieve, the judge must consider the “nature, circumstances, gravity and societal repercussion” of the crime.

The “informant of the month” is Paulo Roberto Costa, for many years the Petrobras Director of Supplies. He has reportedly fingered some 61 personages, including some very high-ranking politicians. His “delations” are connected with two highly visible Petrobras refinery scandals: Pasadena, Texas and Abreu e Lima, Pernambuco, with billions of dollars of cost overruns. Those are numbers that definitely have societal repercussions.

The LatAm Brief

One email, every weekday morning. What moved in Latin American markets, politics and expat life.

Yesterday’s subject line: “Paraguay's Senate ousts its president after a bank failure”

Free. We send a confirmation link first — nothing arrives until you click it. Unsubscribe with one click in any edition. If you stop opening us for 30 days we stop sending by ourselves, as we assume the interest is no longer there. See our privacy policy. We never share your email.

According to the denunciation, for over a decade (if not more) 3% of every significant Petrobras project was siphoned off, through over-pricing and money laundering, into the accounts of politicos and their parties, so as to finance election campaigns. The principal source is government-owned companies (e.g. Petrobras) and private companies that depend upon winning government contracts for their business.

Back to “illation”. One huge project mentioned by Mr. Costa was the Abreu e Lima Refinery. According to Marina Silva, just because the refinery was built in Pernambuco, when Eduardo Campos was Governor, is not proof of anything, and it would be wrong to infer his involvement based on circumstantial evidence and prior assumptions.

The police investigation, called “Lava Jato” (“Car Wash”?), has focused on money laundering. It resulted in several imprisonments, including Mr. Costa and a famous “doleiro”. It is still ongoing, and is sealed, so no one knows the truth of Mr. Costa’s allegations. All those supposedly named by Mr. Costa have protested their innocence.

The Curmudgeon believes that if Mr. Costa is guaranteed no jail time, lots of prominent politicos will be shaking in their boots. This is because the Ministério Público, the independent public prosecutor’s office, will have approved it, and they are serious about prosecuting anyone, no matter how important. One initial indicator of how politically damaging this could be is that the Presidents of Brazil’s Senate and Chamber of Deputies, both fingered by Mr. Costa, chose not to appear at the annual 7 de Setembro parade in Brazil, for the first time in decades.

The Curmudgeon hopes that Operation Car-Wash does not turn into Operation Eye-Wash—something done only to impress an observer; as Brazilians say, “para inglês ver”.

–
Michael Royster, aka THE CURMUDGEON first saw Rio forty-plus years ago, fetched up on these shores exactly 36 years ago, still loves it, notwithstanding being a charter member of the most persecuted minority in (North) America today, the WASPs (google it!)(get over it!)

This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated AI newsroom. Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Publisher and Editor-in-Chief. How we use AI · Report an error

Read More from The Rio Times

The Rio Times · Power Map
See who really holds power in Latin America
Click to open the Power Map →

Brazil runoff date: Sunday, October 25, poll closing times and when results start · Brazil runoff polls: Flávio 51%, Lula 49% · Kalshi and Polymarket odds

Rotate for Best Experience

This report is optimized for landscape viewing. Rotate your phone for the full experience.