By Ben Tavener, Senior Contributing Reporter
SÃO PAULO, BRAZIL – Brazil’s Municipal Human Development Index (MHDI) rose nearly fifty percent in twenty years, the Brazil 2013 Human Development Atlas has shown. Using data from the 1991, 2000 and 2010 censuses, the study by the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) showed that Brazil’s overall MHDI climbed from 0.493 (“very low”) in 1991 to 0.727 (“high”) in 2010.
The 47.5 percent increase was mainly down to improvements to life expectancy, but poor education hampered greater success.
In 2010 Brazil attained “very good” on longevity (0.816), “good” on income (0.739), but only “average” (0.637) on education.
Data on 180 socioeconomic indicators is filtered into three marks: “longevity,” “education” and “income,” from which the overall score is calculated. Below 0.49 is “very low”, 0.50-0.59 – “low”, 0.60-0.69 – “average”, 0.70-0.79 – “high”, and 0.80+ is “very high”.
The new Atlas showed 85 percent of municipalities left the “very low” human development bracket and 74 percent now place “average” or “high”. In 1991, no city scored “high” and only 0.8 percent were considered “average”.
UNDP Resident Representative Jorge Chediek praised Brazil’s “extraordinary progress” in reducing inequality and improving human development: “The report demonstrates that, through decisive actions and strong commitment to public policies, historical inequalities can be addressed in a short period of time.”
Dramatic improvements to longevity and income has driven up MHDI scores: average life expectancy grew 9.2 years to 73.9 years in 2010, with the increase being largely attributed to reduced child mortality rates. The longest life expectancy (78.6 years) was recorded in the southern state of Santa Catarina; the worst (65.3 years) was registered in the northeastern states of Paraíba and Alagoas.
The average Brazilian saw their monthly income increase by R$346.31 (US$152), with the highest income (R$2,043) in São Caetano do Sul, São Paulo state (which also had Brazil’s highest overall MHDI at 0.863) and the lowest (just R$96.25) in Marajá do Sena, Maranhão state.
The 13.3-year difference between top and bottom life expectancies and the staggering 2,000 percent variation in incomes have once again highlighted Brazil’s glaring north-south divide.
Marcelo Neri, interim minister for Brazil’s Secretariat of Strategic Affairs, said that while the “snapshot” of Brazil remained poor, the “movie” showed improvements: “Brazil was one of the most unequal countries in the world, and still is, but progress has been made. We can expect a better future.”
However, despite massive improvements in education since 1991 – climbing from a paltry 0.278 to 0.637 by 2010 – it remains the biggest obstacle to greater development. Even in 2010, only just over half of over-eighteens had completed their nine years of basic schooling.
Although the government’s key social program, the Bolsa Família, which gives families cash partly in exchange for children attending school, has been credited with improving attendance levels, the UNDP said it could at best be given “Oscar for best-supporting actor”.
“The battle of getting children into schools has been won. Now the challenge is keeping children in school and completing school stages (ciclos) at the appropriate age,” said the UNDP’s Daniela Gomes Pinto.
Previously ninth best MDHI in Brazil, Rio fell to 61st place in 2000 but rose to 45th in 2010, a position that Rio State Governor Sérgio Cabral attributed to “decades of absent investment in education, health, infrastructure,” promising Rio would be “in a better position” in future.
UFF economist Prof. Leonardo Muls told O Globo newspaper that Rio’s score was a “nasty surprise” which both showed the city needed to hone long-term planning and develop its economy not to depend on oil, and also helped understand why protests were continuing in the city: “[Officials] boast of investments attracted to host major events, whereas day to day the population see shortages.”
Economists also point to Rio’s highly disparate population, of which 22 percent inhabit favelas, for the poor MHDI score.