What Prediction Markets Say About Brazil’s Runoff
Polymarket gives Flávio Bolsonaro about an 85% chance of beating Lula in Brazil’s October 25 runoff, Kalshi 82%. How the odds moved and why they matter.
Market Snapshot
October 5, 2026 — 21:31 BRTLatest News
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Brazil’s Flávio Camp Weighs Skipping 11 October Debate
Allies of Flávio Bolsonaro urge him to skip most runoff debates with Lula before Brazil’s 25 October vote,...
Peru Ombudsman Urges Calm After 4 October Loreto Unrest
Loreto election violence: electoral material was reportedly burned in two Peruvian Amazon districts, and the ombudsman urged calm...
Mexico Questions US Envoy on US$1.6M Police Academy
Querétaro police academy: Sheinbaum asked her foreign minister on 5 October to call US envoy Ronald Johnson and...
Bolivia Fuel Queues Persist Monday Despite Extra Supply
The Bolivia fuel shortage persisted on Monday despite extra YPFB deliveries, as officials blocked repeat buyers and drivers...
Singapore to Join 41 States on Panama Canal Neutrality
Panama Canal neutrality gains a new backer as Singapore says it will join the 1977 treaty protocol during...
Ecuador Homicides Hit Weekly Low of 117, Noboa Says
Ecuador homicides fell to 117 last week, the lowest weekly total of 2026, President Daniel Noboa said, after...
Ecuador’s Noboa Rules Out Home Blackouts on 5 October
Ecuador blackouts will spare homes, President Daniel Noboa pledged on 5 October, while more than 9,000 firms take...
Costa Rica’s Colón Firms 0.4% Against Dollar on Monday
The Costa Rica exchange rate eased on Monday 5 October as the dollar slipped for a second day...
Costa Rica Sets 14 October Opening for Gang Prison
Costa Rica high-security prison for organised crime opens on 14 October, the Presidency says. It copies El Salvador’s...
Colombian Peso Gains 1.7% to Close at 3,211 per Dollar
The Colombian peso closed at 3,210.92 per dollar on Monday 5 October, 1.9% firmer than the official rate,...
Cuba Power Shortfall Hits ETECSA Internet on Monday
An ETECSA outage on Monday 5 October cut Cuba's Nauta internet and Transfermóvil payments, as power shortages hit...
Venezuela Edges Past US in Spain Crude Sales in August
Venezuelan crude shipments to Spain reached 641,000 tonnes in August, edging past US supplies for third place, official...
Brazil and Its Neighbours in South America
Brazil neighbours ten countries and territories. A plain guide to its borders, trade, migration, shared rivers, the Itaipú dam and regional politics.
What to Do in Cali in October 2026
What to Do in Montevideo in October 2026: Books, Film
Market Snapshot
October 5, 2026 — 21:31 BRTLatest News
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Colombia in Latin America, Its Role, Weight and Alliances
Colombia role in Latin America explained: population, IMF economy rank, OAS, CELAC, Andean and Pacific blocs, and the...
Dominican Republic and Its Neighbours in the Caribbean
Dominican Republic neighbours explained: the Haiti border, Puerto Rico, Cuba, sea treaties, SICA, CARIFORUM and DR-CAFTA trade with...
Who Runs Argentina’s Economy, the Key Players in 2026
Argentina economy key players in 2026: the ministers, state firms, Wall Street-listed companies, family groups and exports that...
Who Runs Peru’s Economy, the Key Players in 2026
Peru economy key players explained: the central bank, NYSE-listed Credicorp and Southern Copper, the big four banks and...
Guyana and Its Neighbours in the Guianas
Guyana neighbours explained: Venezuela's Essequibo claim, Suriname's Tigri dispute, the road to Brazil, new Cayenne flights and CARICOM...
Brazil in Latin America, Its Role, Weight and Alliances
Brazil role in Latin America explained: a third of the region's people and output, Mercosur, CELAC, the OAS,...
Peru Geopolitics Explained 2026
Peru geopolitics in 2026: a US security ally facing a 12.5% US tariff, China as top buyer and...
Chile in Latin America, Its Role, Weight and Alliances
Chile role in Latin America explained: copper weight, the Pacific Alliance, Mercosur, CPTPP, the Bolivia and Peru disputes...
Belize and Its Neighbours in Central America
Belize neighbours explained: Guatemala's claim before the ICJ, trade with Mexico, the Sapodilla Cayes, migration, and SICA and...
What to Do in Abidjan in October 2026: TAYC, Gadji Celi and the Grand Retour
Abidjan in October 2026: Kajeem 10 Oct, TAYC 11 Oct, a diaspora business week and Gadji Celi 31 Oct. Tickets from about US$17.
South Africa Petrol Hits Record US$1.82 a Litre
Market Snapshot
October 5, 2026 — 21:31 BRTLatest News
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What to Do in Abuja in October 2026: Books, Fashion, Photography
Abuja in October 2026: literature festival on 9 and 10 October (pass ₦25,000, about US$19), runway on 18...
What to Do in Rabat in October 2026
Rabat in October 2026: the OPM opens its season on 8 October, Kadim Al Sahir plays on 9...
What to Do in Tangier in October 2026: Film, Theatre and Jazz
Tangier in October 2026: film at the Cinémathèque, jazz and theatre at Riad Sultan, tickets from US$4 and...
What to Do in Alexandria in October 2026: Carmina Burana and Dalida
Alexandria's October 2026 guide: Carmina Burana on 10 October, free Sunday cinema and a Dalida tribute on 31...
African Pulse for Monday, October 5, 2026
Africa today: Ethiopian forces take Mekelle, Egypt and allies issue the Alamein declaration, Congo’s Ebola toll passes 4,000,...
MASI Falls 0.83% to 17,159 as Volume Halves | Morocco Market Report, Oct 5
Morocco's MASI fell 0.83% to 17,159.50 on 5 October after a higher open. Turnover halved to US$13 million;...
EGX30 Slips 0.66% to 53,553 on Foreign Selling | Egypt Market Report, Oct 5
EGX30 fell 0.66% to 53,553 on Monday 5 October as foreigners sold about US$10 million of shares. Pound...
NASI Slips 0.2% as Nation Media Jumps 10% | Kenya Market Report, Oct 5
Kenya's NASI fell 0.18% to 246.88 on 5 October as Nation Media jumped 10%. Turnover reached US$5.3 million...
NGX All-Share Dips 0.06% to 250,668 | Nigeria Market Report, Oct 5
Nigeria's NGX All-Share Index fell 0.06% to 250,668 on 5 October as volume rose 57%, while the naira...
Rand Holds at 16.66 as PMI Falls to 49 | South Africa Market Report, Oct 5
South Africa's rand held near R16.66 per dollar as the PMI fell to 49.0 and petrol hit a...
Kenya PMI Signals Business Upturn as Orders Grow
Kenya PMI rose to 51.3 in September as new orders grew, but output fell for a seventh month...
Kenya’s Ruto Orders 50,000 Teacher Promotions
Kenya's President Ruto orders 50,000 teacher promotions, up from 34,016, and says US$37.8 million will make 20,000 contract...
From the Week
Mexico Mexican Boxer and Congressman Jorge Kahwagi Dies at 58 5 days ago Brazil Brazil Election Results Start 17:00 Brasília Time 2 days ago Brazil Brazil Votes on Sunday: Hours, Alcohol Rules and What Expats Need to Know 6 days ago Africa Tanzania Closes Two Kilimanjaro Climbing Routes as Wildfire Spreads 7 days ago Expats & Nomads Luis Miguel Confirms New World Tour for 2027 4 days agoAll articles, market reports, intelligence briefs, and the Morning Call.