Lula da Silva leads Brazil 2022 election poll, with 49% vs. 23% Bolsonaro – Ipec

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – Former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva from the left-wing Workers’ Party (PT) leads the 2022 presidential race with 49% of voting intentions in the first Ipec poll, 26 percentage points ahead of right-wing President Jair Bolsonaro (no party affiliation), who has 23%.

Lula has 11 percentage points more than the sum of his possible opponents and would win the election in the first round if the elections were held today.

Ciro Gomes (left) from the Democratic Labour Party (PDT), who is likely running for his fourth presidential election, has 7%, technically tied with São Paulo Governor João Doria (center-right) from the Brazilian Social Democracy Party (PSDB), who has 5%. Former Health Minister in the Bolsonaro government Luiz Henrique Mandetta  from the center-right Democrats (DEM) appears with 3%. Blank and void votes add up to 10%, and voters who do not know or do not answer were also 3%.

The intention to vote for former President Lula is stronger among respondents living in the Northeast (63%), a region where Bolsonaro appears with only 15% of mentions – the lowest rate among all regions of the country.

Lula also appears ahead of the president among young voters (53% to 17%) and among those who have completed elementary school (59% to 19%).

The poll surveyed 2,002 people in 141 churches between June 17 and 21. The margin of error of the survey is two points plus or minus and the confidence level is 95%.

Ipec was founded this year by former executives of Ibope Inteligência, which ceased operations.

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