Brazil’s Amazonas state registers nearly 50% drop in Covid deaths

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – A VEJA survey comparing the Covid-19 numbers over the past two weeks shows that Amazonas is the Brazilian state with the highest drop in the rolling daily average of deaths. In the period, Amazonas saw a 49.59% decline in the index: from 17.3 daily deaths to 8.7.

The number is well below the figures registered between January and February this year, when Amazonas’ healthcare system collapsed and reached a rolling average of almost 150.

Five other states are also in a downward trend; epidemiologists work with a 15% drop to consider the downward trend consistent. They are Pará (-45.93%), Espírito Santo (-32.18%), Rio de Janeiro (-24.3%), Acre (-23.08%) and Sergipe (-15.71%).

Heading in the opposite direction is Mato Grosso, which saw the rolling average of deaths rise 53.55% in the past 15 days. Tocantins (30.99%), Maranhão (17.71%), Paraíba (16.49%), and Pernambuco (16.14%) are in a rising scenario according to the epidemiologists’ criteria and generate concern.

Overall, Brazil is stable. In relation to May 18, the country is registering a reduction of only 2.53%. However, the drop in numbers is slowing down.

In the 24 hours ending June 1, Brazil registered 2,408 deaths and 78,926 new cases. In total, Brazil counts 16,624,480 infections and 465,199 victims throughout the pandemic. The daily rolling average of cases is 61,467, with 1,881 deaths (the highest in the last nine days).

The weekly rolling average is based on the sum of the number of cases and deaths in the past seven days, divided by seven, the number of days in the period – which enables a better assessment by canceling out daily variations in registrations and data submission by public health bodies, an issue that occurs mainly on weekends. The final value, compared to the past weeks and months, provides a broader notion of the increase or decrease of infections.

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