How Long Can Lockdowns Be Sustained?

Public life may have to remain frozen longer than previously expected, as leading epidemiologists say. However, this will come at a huge economic and social cost.

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL - "There will now be a painful slump. But it will be over quickly. By the summer, the economy and society can return to normal and take off again." This statement from a CEO reflects the views of many about the coronavirus crisis. After three months, it should be over.

Alarming scenarios

However, doubts have arisen regarding this perspective. A study by epidemiologists from Imperial College London, who are among the leading scientists in the field, has raised a stir. Their key message is that lockdowns may need to be maintained until a vaccination against . . .

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