IBOV 177,999.00 ▲ 0.47% IPSA 11,016.85 ▼ 0.13% IPC MEX 66,935.53 ▼ 0.58% MERVAL 3,291,323 ▼ 0.41% COLCAP 2,392.10 ▲ 2.12% BVL PERÚ 57,890.85 — — USD/BRL5.07▼ 0.02% USD/MXN17.30▼ 0.28% USD/CLP 930.47 — 0.00% USD/COP3,148▼ 0.08% USD/PEN3.40▲ 0.15% USD/ARS1,485▼ 0.03% USD/UYU 40.20 — 0.00% USD/PYG 5,931 — 0.00% USD/BOB 12.10 — 0.00% USD/DOP58.11▲ 0.21% USD/CRC 448.40 — 0.00% USD/GTQ 7.62 — 0.00% USD/HNL 26.76 — 0.00% USD/NIO 36.62 — 0.00% USD/VES746.91▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD157.49▲ 0.19% USD/TTD6.72— 0.00% EUR/BRL5.86▲ 0.20% BRENT 90.12 ▲ 1.22% WTI 80.49 ▼ 4.94% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.53 ▲ 1.53% GOLD 4,123 ▲ 1.83% SILVER 58.25 ▲ 1.14% SOY 1,178 ▲ 0.47% CORN 459.25 ▲ 4.20% WHEAT 634.25 ▼ 0.78% COFFEE 313.55 ▼ 2.94% SUGAR 14.65 ▲ 1.52% ORANGE JUICE 153.35 ▲ 5.03% COTTON 81.20 ▲ 2.25% COCOA 5,537 ▲ 8.31% BEEF 227.25 ▼ 1.72% CATTLE 343.78 ▼ 0.78% LITHIUM 69.22 ▼ 0.85% PETR4 43.42 ▲ 1.35% VALE3 76.28 ▲ 0.25% ITUB4 42.89 ▲ 0.35% BBDC4 18.43 ▲ 0.22% ABEV3 15.99 ▲ 0.19% BBAS3 21.35 ▲ 0.76% B3SA3 15.73 ▲ 0.64% WEGE3 47.20 ▲ 0.81% PRIO3 60.85 ▲ 1.48% SUZB3 43.32 ▲ 1.38% RENT3 37.61 ▼ 1.62% AZZA3 16.42 ▲ 3.53% CSAN3 4.07 ▲ 2.01% RAIZ4 0.26 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.59 ▼ 5.47% GMAT3 4.03 ▲ 1.26% PSSA3 54.70 ▲ 0.64% CVCB3 1.31 ▲ 0.77% POSI3 3.55 ▲ 0.85% SLCE3 13.38 ▲ 0.91% NATU3 8.38 ▲ 0.60% BRKM5 5.97 ▲ 0.67% RANI3 8.11 ▲ 1.00% CSNA3 4.84 ▼ 2.22% CMIN3 5.71 ▼ 0.17% USIM5 7.36 ▼ 2.52% GGBR4 24.98 — 0.00% ENEV3 26.31 ▲ 0.61% CPFE3 46.14 ▲ 0.11% CMIG4 11.34 ▲ 0.98% EQTL3 38.66 — 0.00% LREN3 13.60 ▲ 0.59% VIVT3 32.63 — 0.00% RAIL3 14.44 ▲ 1.12% KLABIN 18.25 ▲ 1.11% RAIA DROGASIL 18.48 ▲ 1.26% RDOR3 34.64 ▲ 0.64% HAPV3 11.28 ▲ 2.45% FLRY3 17.14 ▲ 1.00% SMTO3 14.52 ▲ 0.83% UGPA3 33.05 ▲ 0.39% VBBR3 36.05 ▲ 1.18% BBSE3 41.26 ▲ 0.98% BPAC11 56.80 ▲ 0.32% CURY3 30.09 ▼ 1.02% AERI3 2.15 ▲ 0.94% VIVARA 22.18 ▲ 0.09% COMPASS 24.84 — 0.00% VAMOS 3.34 ▼ 2.34% SANB11 28.62 ▲ 13.35% ASAI3 8.50 ▲ 1.07% SBSP3 27.70 ▲ 1.06% WALMEX 50.36 ▲ 0.34% GMEXICO 208.29 ▼ 2.20% FEMSA 221.95 ▲ 1.19% CEMEX 20.54 ▼ 0.73% GFNORTE 199.64 ▼ 0.32% BIMBO 62.08 ▲ 2.26% TELEVISA 9.79 ▼ 0.91% AMX 22.00 — 0.00% GAP 376.64 ▼ 1.08% ASUR 275.62 ▼ 0.34% OMA 231.05 ▼ 0.96% KOF 187.94 ▼ 0.14% GRUMA 258.23 ▼ 4.00% KIMBER 40.19 ▼ 0.17% SQM-B 62,700 ▼ 0.93% COPEC 6,350 ▲ 0.79% BSANTANDER 80.99 ▲ 0.36% FALABELLA 6,216 ▼ 0.06% ENELAM 87.99 ▲ 0.39% CENCOSUD 1,955 ▲ 0.51% CMPC 1,055 ▲ 2.43% BANCO CHILE 193.71 ▼ 1.57% LATAM AIR 24.74 ▼ 0.64% YPF 82,900 ▲ 1.94% GGAL 7,890 ▼ 1.56% PAMPA 5,555 ▲ 0.36% TXAR 655.50 ▲ 1.16% ALUAR 977.50 ▼ 0.20% TGS 10,050 ▲ 2.45% CEPU 2,396 ▼ 0.33% MIRGOR 16,350 ▼ 1.95% COME 44.03 ▼ 1.94% LOMA NEGRA 3,620 ▼ 1.76% BYMA 296.00 ▼ 0.34% TELECOM ARG 4,408 ▲ 2.14% ECOPETROL 16.77 ▼ 1.58% BANCOLOMBIA 92.52 ▼ 1.46% GRUPO AVAL 5.28 ▲ 2.75% CREDICORP 400.58 ▼ 0.42% SOUTHERN COPPER 182.71 ▼ 1.24% BUENAVENTURA 30.28 ▼ 4.96% MERCADOLIBRE 1,878 ▼ 0.41% NUBANK 14.33 ▼ 1.10% XP 17.06 ▼ 0.81% PAGSEGURO 9.64 ▼ 2.03% STONE 11.38 ▼ 0.48% GLOBANT 36.60 ▲ 0.58% TECNOGLASS 43.44 ▼ 0.34% GAP AIRPORT 217.35 ▼ 1.02% ASUR 275.62 ▼ 0.34% OMA AIRPORT 106.90 ▼ 1.10% AMX ADR 25.37 ▲ 0.18% FEMSA ADR 127.99 ▲ 0.97% CEMEX ADR 11.82 ▼ 0.92% PETROBRAS ADR 19.40 ▲ 1.46% VALE ADR 15.06 ▲ 0.47% ITAU ADR 8.46 ▲ 0.24% SANTANDER BR 5.67 ▲ 12.28% AMBEV ADR 3.11 ▼ 0.32% CSN 0.99 ▼ 2.42% GERDAU 4.96 — 0.00% LATAM ADR 52.75 ▼ 2.21% BTC 63,281 ▲ 0.83% ETH 1,875 ▲ 1.72% SOL 73.28 ▲ 1.97% XRP 1.08 ▲ 1.95% BNB 584.08 ▲ 1.59% ADA 0.19 ▲ 8.43% DOGE 0.07 ▲ 1.79% AVAX 6.53 ▲ 5.59% LINK 8.35 ▲ 3.59% DOT 0.80 ▲ 2.11% LTC 44.62 ▲ 0.99% BCH 212.37 ▲ 2.14% TRX 0.33 ▼ 0.55% XLM 0.17 ▲ 1.87% HBAR 0.07 ▲ 1.08% NEAR 1.72 ▲ 2.65% ATOM 1.27 ▲ 3.85% AAVE 91.75 ▲ 1.36% SELIC 14.25% EMBRAER 86.89 ▲ 0.87% EMBRAER ADR 68.33 ▲ 0.32% JBS 14.02 ▼ 1.89% JBS BDR 70.70 ▼ 2.01% MBRF3 17.54 ▼ 2.34% MBRFY 3.39 ▼ 2.31% INTER 5.60 ▼ 0.71% IBOV 177,999.00 ▲ 0.47% IPSA 11,016.85 ▼ 0.13% IPC MEX 66,935.53 ▼ 0.58% MERVAL 3,291,323 ▼ 0.41% COLCAP 2,392.10 ▲ 2.12% BVL PERÚ 57,890.85 — — USD/BRL 5.07 ▼ 0.02% USD/MXN 17.30 ▼ 0.28% USD/CLP 930.47 — 0.00% USD/COP 3,148 ▼ 0.08% USD/PEN 3.40 ▲ 0.15% USD/ARS 1,485 ▼ 0.03% USD/UYU 40.20 — 0.00% USD/PYG 5,931 — 0.00% USD/BOB 12.10 — 0.00% USD/DOP 58.11 ▲ 0.21% USD/CRC 448.40 — 0.00% USD/GTQ 7.62 — 0.00% USD/HNL 26.76 — 0.00% USD/NIO 36.62 — 0.00% USD/VES 746.91 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.49 ▲ 0.56% USD/TTD 6.72 ▲ 0.86% EUR/BRL 5.86 ▲ 0.20% BRENT 90.12 ▲ 1.22% WTI 80.49 ▼ 4.94% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.53 ▲ 1.53% GOLD 4,123 ▲ 1.83% SILVER 58.25 ▲ 1.14% SOY 1,178 ▲ 0.47% CORN 459.25 ▲ 4.20% WHEAT 634.25 ▼ 0.78% COFFEE 313.55 ▼ 2.94% SUGAR 14.65 ▲ 1.52% ORANGE JUICE 153.35 ▲ 5.03% COTTON 81.20 ▲ 2.25% COCOA 5,537 ▲ 8.31% BEEF 227.25 ▼ 1.72% CATTLE 343.78 ▼ 0.78% LITHIUM 69.22 ▼ 0.85% PETR4 43.42 ▲ 1.35% VALE3 76.28 ▲ 0.25% ITUB4 42.89 ▲ 0.35% BBDC4 18.43 ▲ 0.22% ABEV3 15.99 ▲ 0.19% BBAS3 21.35 ▲ 0.76% B3SA3 15.73 ▲ 0.64% WEGE3 47.20 ▲ 0.81% PRIO3 60.85 ▲ 1.48% SUZB3 43.32 ▲ 1.38% RENT3 37.61 ▼ 1.62% AZZA3 16.42 ▲ 3.53% CSAN3 4.07 ▲ 2.01% RAIZ4 0.26 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.59 ▼ 5.47% GMAT3 4.03 ▲ 1.26% PSSA3 54.70 ▲ 0.64% CVCB3 1.31 ▲ 0.77% POSI3 3.55 ▲ 0.85% SLCE3 13.38 ▲ 0.91% NATU3 8.38 ▲ 0.60% BRKM5 5.97 ▲ 0.67% RANI3 8.11 ▲ 1.00% CSNA3 4.84 ▼ 2.22% CMIN3 5.71 ▼ 0.17% USIM5 7.36 ▼ 2.52% GGBR4 24.98 — 0.00% ENEV3 26.31 ▲ 0.61% CPFE3 46.14 ▲ 0.11% CMIG4 11.34 ▲ 0.98% EQTL3 38.66 — 0.00% LREN3 13.60 ▲ 0.59% VIVT3 32.63 — 0.00% RAIL3 14.44 ▲ 1.12% KLABIN 18.25 ▲ 1.11% RAIA DROGASIL 18.48 ▲ 1.26% RDOR3 34.64 ▲ 0.64% HAPV3 11.28 ▲ 2.45% FLRY3 17.14 ▲ 1.00% SMTO3 14.52 ▲ 0.83% UGPA3 33.05 ▲ 0.39% VBBR3 36.05 ▲ 1.18% BBSE3 41.26 ▲ 0.98% BPAC11 56.80 ▲ 0.32% CURY3 30.09 ▼ 1.02% AERI3 2.15 ▲ 0.94% VIVARA 22.18 ▲ 0.09% COMPASS 24.84 — 0.00% VAMOS 3.34 ▼ 2.34% SANB11 28.62 ▲ 13.35% ASAI3 8.50 ▲ 1.07% SBSP3 27.70 ▲ 1.06% WALMEX 50.36 ▲ 0.34% GMEXICO 208.29 ▼ 2.20% FEMSA 221.95 ▲ 1.19% CEMEX 20.54 ▼ 0.73% GFNORTE 199.64 ▼ 0.32% BIMBO 62.08 ▲ 2.26% TELEVISA 9.79 ▼ 0.91% AMX 22.00 — 0.00% GAP 376.64 ▼ 1.08% ASUR 275.62 ▼ 0.34% OMA 231.05 ▼ 0.96% KOF 187.94 ▼ 0.14% GRUMA 258.23 ▼ 4.00% KIMBER 40.19 ▼ 0.17% SQM-B 62,700 ▼ 0.93% COPEC 6,350 ▲ 0.79% BSANTANDER 80.99 ▲ 0.36% FALABELLA 6,216 ▼ 0.06% ENELAM 87.99 ▲ 0.39% CENCOSUD 1,955 ▲ 0.51% CMPC 1,055 ▲ 2.43% BANCO CHILE 193.71 ▼ 1.57% LATAM AIR 24.74 ▼ 0.64% YPF 82,900 ▲ 1.94% GGAL 7,890 ▼ 1.56% PAMPA 5,555 ▲ 0.36% TXAR 655.50 ▲ 1.16% ALUAR 977.50 ▼ 0.20% TGS 10,050 ▲ 2.45% CEPU 2,396 ▼ 0.33% MIRGOR 16,350 ▼ 1.95% COME 44.03 ▼ 1.94% LOMA NEGRA 3,620 ▼ 1.76% BYMA 296.00 ▼ 0.34% TELECOM ARG 4,408 ▲ 2.14% ECOPETROL 16.77 ▼ 1.58% BANCOLOMBIA 92.52 ▼ 1.46% GRUPO AVAL 5.28 ▲ 2.75% CREDICORP 400.58 ▼ 0.42% SOUTHERN COPPER 182.71 ▼ 1.24% BUENAVENTURA 30.28 ▼ 4.96% MERCADOLIBRE 1,878 ▼ 0.41% NUBANK 14.33 ▼ 1.10% XP 17.06 ▼ 0.81% PAGSEGURO 9.64 ▼ 2.03% STONE 11.38 ▼ 0.48% GLOBANT 36.60 ▲ 0.58% TECNOGLASS 43.44 ▼ 0.34% GAP AIRPORT 217.35 ▼ 1.02% ASUR 275.62 ▼ 0.34% OMA AIRPORT 106.90 ▼ 1.10% AMX ADR 25.37 ▲ 0.18% FEMSA ADR 127.99 ▲ 0.97% CEMEX ADR 11.82 ▼ 0.92% PETROBRAS ADR 19.40 ▲ 1.46% VALE ADR 15.06 ▲ 0.47% ITAU ADR 8.46 ▲ 0.24% SANTANDER BR 5.67 ▲ 12.28% AMBEV ADR 3.11 ▼ 0.32% CSN 0.99 ▼ 2.42% GERDAU 4.96 — 0.00% LATAM ADR 52.75 ▼ 2.21% BTC 63,281 ▲ 0.83% ETH 1,875 ▲ 1.72% SOL 73.28 ▲ 1.97% XRP 1.08 ▲ 1.95% BNB 584.08 ▲ 1.59% ADA 0.19 ▲ 8.43% DOGE 0.07 ▲ 1.79% AVAX 6.53 ▲ 5.59% LINK 8.35 ▲ 3.59% DOT 0.80 ▲ 2.11% LTC 44.62 ▲ 0.99% BCH 212.37 ▲ 2.14% TRX 0.33 ▼ 0.55% XLM 0.17 ▲ 1.87% HBAR 0.07 ▲ 1.08% NEAR 1.72 ▲ 2.65% ATOM 1.27 ▲ 3.85% AAVE 91.75 ▲ 1.36% SELIC 14.25% EMBRAER 86.89 ▲ 0.87% EMBRAER ADR 68.33 ▲ 0.32% JBS 14.02 ▼ 1.89% JBS BDR 70.70 ▼ 2.01% MBRF3 17.54 ▼ 2.34% MBRFY 3.39 ▼ 2.31% INTER 5.60 ▼ 0.71%
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Opinion: Brazil’s BBB and Voting Blocs – Bolsonaro’s Challenge

By · January 22, 2019 · 3 min read

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Opinion, by Michael Royster

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – Fear not, gentle reader — the BBB in the headline is NOT about Brazilian broadcasting’s bowdlerized debauchery.  Rather, it stands for Bancada do Boi, da Bala e da Biblia. The term, coined in 2015, describes powerful cross-party voting blocs in Brazil’s Congress.

Michael Royster, aka The Curmudgeon.
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Bancada” literally means “bench”, upon which members of parliament (“benchers”) sit. US terminology varies (farm bloc, Black Caucus, gun lobby). The Curmudgeon will stick with Bloc, the alliterative Plan B.

Boi, Bala e Bíblia” are literally “beef, bullets and bible”. “Beef” includes (soy)beans, because the bloc represents agribusiness. “Bullets” includes those tough on crime and supporting military intervention. “Bible” includes evangelical Christians favoring “traditional family values”.

Bancada BBB comprises the three largest cross-party voting blocs in Brazil’s Congress, particularly after the 2018 elections. President Bolsonaro is looking to these blocs and several others, rather than to traditional political parties, as the principal means to pass legislation he favors.

This approach is a radical departure from past practice, and reinforces his campaign promise not to use pork-barrel patronage to purchase legislative majorities. His predecessors in office created dozens of useless but lucrative cabinet ministries and handed out powerful administrative positions in government-owned companies: the inevitable result was systemic corruption.

At an institutional level, however, putting aside questions of corruption, the use of voting blocs poses a serious threat to the entire structure of Brazilian politics. In almost all democracies, political parties are essential to governing the country. In theory, they represent voters and create consensus.

Brazil’s democracy has two features that make parties more crucial than in many other countries. The first is the “party list” system for choosing legislators. The second is “coalition presidentialism”.

In Brazil, when you vote for legislators, you are really voting for the party they belong to, not the individual candidate. There are no separate election districts in Brazil – legislators do not represent voters in specific geographic areas. There is no Federal or State Deputy from Barra da Tijuca or Municipal Assemblywoman from Copacabana.

In this institutional structure, where the political party bosses control who can be a candidate, the prime loyalty of legislators is to the party bosses, not to voters in a specific constituency.

When a vote in Congress is pending, the bosses typically demand loyalty to the party position. Multi-party blocs based on single issues (beef, bullet, bible) subvert this system, because the party bosses lose control.

Brazil’s second distinctive feature — coalition presidentialism — is an egregious example of trying to graft a feature of parliamentary systems of government onto a presidential system. Very few countries have tried this, because most set limits on the number of political parties in their legislatures.

Moreover, it has not worked well in Brazil or any other country, because it inevitably leads to corruption and a lack of governability—no President can hope to control 25 or 30 political parties without bribes, backhanders and baksheesh.

For decades, Bolsonaro was a Congressional backbencher (“baixo clero”) with no real party ties or influence. His plan, consistent with this background, is to rely on the Bancada BBB and other blocs, rather than on a coalition of political parties, to enact his legislative programs.

That is a risky proposition for him and for Brazil’s legislative institutions.

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