IBOVESPA Will Hit 120,000 Points Next Year: Morgan Stanley
RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – Brazilian stocks should benefit from a scenario of accelerating economic growth, low interest rates and continued flexibility of social measures in the country, according to Morgan Stanley.
The bank projects the IBOVESPA stock market index to close 2021 at 120,000 points, suggesting potential for a 12 percent increase over closing on Tuesday. A stronger than expected recovery in Brazil “should continue providing a positive tailwind for domestic stocks,” said strategists led by Guilherme Paiva in a report on November 17th.
The relatively low rate of novel coronavirus infections in Brazil and early summer in the southern hemisphere should reduce the risk of new lockdowns, according to Morgan Stanley. Brazil is third in the world in terms of coronavirus cases, with nearly six million infections.
Limited progress on the fiscal front should keep investors’ hopes alive, and tax and administrative reforms are perceived as important catalysts in the future, the bank said, which has favored the prospects of shares of Itaú Unibanco, BTG Pactual, XP, Lojas Renner, Gerdau and Magazine Luiza in the country.
Source: Bloomberg
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Brazil — Live Market Board
+1.85%
171,031.73
+1.85%
65,729.18
+2.14%
11,338.38
+0.89%
2,913,184
+1.30%
2,459.23
+0.61%
58,698.13
+2.60%
| Instrument | Last | Change | YoY | Prev. | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBOV | 171,031.73 | +1.85% | +21.85% | 167,927.15 | 168,310 | 167,142 | — |
| USD/BRL | 5.16 | +0.01% | -5.13% | 5.16 | 5.18 | 5.14 | — |
| SELIC | 14.00% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PETR4 | 41.64 | -0.05% | +35.19% | 41.66 | 41.97 | 41.15 | 41,499,400 |
| VALE3 | 72.97 | +0.83% | +30.75% | 72.37 | 73.54 | 72.66 | 17,658,000 |
| ITUB4 | 38.60 | -1.03% | +4.57% | 39.00 | 39.34 | 38.39 | 29,487,800 |
| BBDC4 | 16.85 | +0.36% | +3.50% | 16.79 | 16.90 | 16.67 | 19,416,900 |
| BBAS3 | 19.37 | +0.47% | +0.73% | 19.28 | 19.44 | 19.16 | 11,069,200 |
| B3SA3 | 14.26 | -0.21% | +12.73% | 14.29 | 14.47 | 14.11 | 33,037,800 |
| ABEV3 | 14.89 | -0.80% | +21.91% | 15.01 | 15.07 | 14.81 | 16,453,100 |
| WEGE3 | 47.59 | +0.49% | +29.99% | 47.36 | 48.08 | 47.36 | 3,364,600 |
| PRIO3 | 59.14 | -0.19% | +50.67% | 59.25 | 59.81 | 58.74 | 3,325,600 |
| SUZB3 | 41.33 | +2.35% | -23.55% | 40.38 | 41.48 | 40.35 | 3,914,900 |
| RENT3 | 34.68 | -0.09% | +0.84% | 34.71 | 34.96 | 34.35 | 7,979,100 |
| AZZA3 | 15.89 | -2.63% | -53.76% | 16.32 | 16.42 | 15.82 | 1,330,300 |
| CSNA3 | 4.30 | +0.47% | -42.65% | 4.28 | 4.41 | 4.26 | 10,076,100 |
| GGBR4 | 24.69 | +2.19% | +51.38% | 24.16 | 24.85 | 24.18 | 7,047,600 |
| ENEV3 | 24.21 | -1.38% | +70.49% | 24.55 | 24.64 | 23.99 | 9,297,000 |
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