Covid-19: XP Asset claims Brazil will vaccinate its entire adult population by September
RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – The world managed to “politicize” even the discussion about vaccination, but how to talk about this topic without falling into a political debate? With data and numerical evidence. Fernando Genta, chief economist of XP Asset, put together a study whose conclusion is that we can have the entire Brazilian adult population vaccinated until September.
Genta said today that just with the inputs in Brazil, it is already possible to vaccinate the entire population over 60 (which by the end of May will be vaccinated, according to the economist) and a good part of the population over 50. By September, we will have vaccinated almost 135 million Brazilians, which is the range of the population over 18 and that will want to be vaccinated (he works with the premise that 85% will opt to be vaccinated – on average what is seen in the world).
While it sounds like an optimistic account, Genta says the projections are actually conservative: they don’t consider anything from Fiocruz’s production in the 2nd half with Brazilian components; they have much smaller vaccine counts compared to the Ministry of Health; they don’t consider the vaccines that the W.H.O. has promised to deliver to Brazil; and they add in a two-month delay on the delivery of some vaccines, such as from Pfizer.
“We are more optimistic than the rest of the market, but we are no longer the only ones,” says the economist about other big private investment houses already starting to observe this optimistic scenario for vaccination.
According to the Ministry of Health, there were 3,808 new deaths recorded on Tuesday, March 13 of Covid-19, adding up to more than 358,000 deaths. The weekly moving average, however, declined slightly to 3,068 deaths a day. For the 12th consecutive day, the data for new inpatients and hospital occupancy fell in São Paulo. So far, 11.55% of the population has received at least one dose of the vaccine.
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